NASCAR: Five Drivers Most Likely To Win At Texas

Apr 9, 2016; Fort Worth, TX, USA; A view of the field as they prepare to start after a two hour rain delay during the Duck Commander 500 at Texas Motor Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 9, 2016; Fort Worth, TX, USA; A view of the field as they prepare to start after a two hour rain delay during the Duck Commander 500 at Texas Motor Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports /
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NASCAR
Aug 21, 2016; Bristol, TN, USA; NASCAR Sprint Cup Series driver Kevin Harvick (4) during the rain delayed Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports /

The Favorite: Kevin Harvick

Stats at Texas:

  • Wins: 0
  • Top-5’s: 6
  • Top-10’s: 15
  • Laps Led: 116
  • Average Finish: 12.2

You may find it weird that a driver with no wins and just 116 laps led at Texas would be considered a favorite this late in the season, but this is Kevin Harvick we are talking about, and we know he’s capable of winning on any given weekend.

Harvick has never made it to Victory Lane at Texas, but he does have 15 top-10’s, which is third-most among active drivers. In the 2015 spring race, he led 96 laps but was passed by Jimmie Johnson late. In the 2015 Chase race, he drove with one hand for the final 94 laps due to a an issue with his shifter and still ended up finishing third.

Harvick has finished in the top-10 in seven out of the last nine races at Texas and has finishes in third or better in the last three out of four races. It also helps him since Texas is a 1.5-mile track–the kind of track that he tends to make a living racing on.

We’ve seen Harvick come back multiple time from bad outings in the Chase and he finished 20th last weekend at Martinsville. We’ve seen him absolutely dominate when he has to and I expect him to establish himself early this weekend.

Kevin Harvick is the favorite heading into Sunday’s race.