Beyond the Flag
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IndyCar: Championship-clinching scenarios at Sonoma

By Asher Fair

SONOMA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Simon Pagenaud of France driver of the #22 Team Penske Hewlett Packard Chevrolet Dallara celebrates winning the IndyCar Series championship with his crew and team onwer roger Penske after his victory at the GoPro Grand Prix of Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on September 18, 2016 in Sonoma, California. (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)
SONOMA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Simon Pagenaud of France driver of the #22 Team Penske Hewlett Packard Chevrolet Dallara celebrates winning the IndyCar Series championship with his crew and team onwer roger Penske after his victory at the GoPro Grand Prix of Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on September 18, 2016 in Sonoma, California. (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images) /
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FORT WORTH, TX – JUNE 09: Simon Pagenaud, driver of the #1 DXC Technology Team Penske Chevrolet (Photo by Sarah Crabill/Getty Images)
FORT WORTH, TX – JUNE 09: Simon Pagenaud, driver of the #1 DXC Technology Team Penske Chevrolet (Photo by Sarah Crabill/Getty Images) /

Simon Pagenaud, Team Penske, No. 1 Chevrolet (continued)

Here are more scenarios by which Simon Pagenaud can claim his second career IndyCar championship.

With a 9th place finish…

  • Pagenaud will have 570 points
  • Newgarden must not race (560 points)
  • Dixon must not race (557 points)
  • Castroneves must finish in 14th place (570 points) or lower — Pagenaud wins tiebreaker based on more 3rd place finishes in the 2017 season (3 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 3rd place (562 points) or lower
  • Rossi must finish in 2nd place (556 points) or lower

With a 10th place finish…

  • Pagenaud will have 566 points
  • Newgarden must not race (560 points)
  • Dixon must not race (557 points)
  • Castroneves must finish in 16th place (566 points) or lower — Pagenaud wins tiebreaker based on more 3rd place finishes in the 2017 season (3 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 3rd place (562 points) or lower
  • Rossi must finish in 2nd place (556 points) or lower
  • Graham Rahal must finish in 2nd place (546 points) or lower

With an 11th place finish…

  • Pagenaud will have 564 points
  • Newgarden must not race (560 points)
  • Dixon must not race (557 points)
  • Castroneves must finish in 17th place (564 points) or lower — Pagenaud wins tiebreaker based on more 3rd place finishes in the 2017 season (3 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 3rd place (562 points) or lower
  • Rossi must finish in 2nd place (556 points) or lower
  • Rahal must finish in 2nd place (546 points) or lower

With a 12th place finish…

  • Pagenaud will have 562 points
  • Newgarden must not race (560 points)
  • Dixon must not race (557 points)
  • Castroneves must finish in 18th place (562 points) or lower — Pagenaud wins tiebreaker based on more 3rd place finishes in the 2017 season (3 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 4th place (556 points) or lower
  • Rossi must finish in 2nd place (556 points) or lower
  • Rahal must finish in 2nd place (546 points) or lower

With a finish from 13th place through 22nd place…

  • Pagenaud has no possible championship-clinching scenarios (560 points)