Beyond the Flag
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IndyCar: Championship-clinching scenarios at Sonoma

By Asher Fair

SONOMA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Simon Pagenaud of France driver of the #22 Team Penske Hewlett Packard Chevrolet Dallara celebrates winning the IndyCar Series championship with his crew and team onwer roger Penske after his victory at the GoPro Grand Prix of Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on September 18, 2016 in Sonoma, California. (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)
SONOMA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Simon Pagenaud of France driver of the #22 Team Penske Hewlett Packard Chevrolet Dallara celebrates winning the IndyCar Series championship with his crew and team onwer roger Penske after his victory at the GoPro Grand Prix of Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on September 18, 2016 in Sonoma, California. (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images) /
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FORT WORTH, TX – JUNE 09: Josef Newgarden, the current leader of the IndyCar championship standings (Photo by Sarah Crabill/Getty Images)
FORT WORTH, TX – JUNE 09: Josef Newgarden, the current leader of the IndyCar championship standings (Photo by Sarah Crabill/Getty Images) /

Josef Newgarden, Team Penske, No. 2 Chevrolet

Here are the scenarios by which Josef Newgarden can claim his first career IndyCar championship.

With a win…

  • Newgarden clinches the championship with 660 points

With a 2nd place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 640 points
  • Scott Dixon must finish in 3rd place (627 points) or lower

With a 3rd place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 630 points
  • Dixon must finish in 4th place (621 points) or lower
  • Helio Castroneves must finish in 2nd place (618 points) or lower

With a 4th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 624 points
  • Dixon must finish in 5th place (617 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 2nd place (618 points) or lower
  • Simon Pagenaud must finish in 2nd place (606 points) or lower

With a 5th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 620 points
  • Dixon must finish in 6th place (613 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 2nd place (618 points) or lower
  • Pagenaud must finish in 2nd place (606 points) or lower

With a 6th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 616 points
  • Dixon must finish in 7th place (609 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 3rd place (608 points) or lower
  • Pagenaud must finish in 2nd place (606 points) or lower

With a 7th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 612 points
  • Dixon must finish in 8th place (605 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 3rd place (608 points) or lower
  • Pagenaud must finish in 2nd place (606 points) or lower

With an 8th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 608 points
  • Dixon must finish in 9th place (601 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 3rd place (608 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Pagenaud must finish in 2nd place (606 points) or lower