Beyond the Flag
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IndyCar: Championship-clinching scenarios at Sonoma

By Asher Fair

SONOMA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Simon Pagenaud of France driver of the #22 Team Penske Hewlett Packard Chevrolet Dallara celebrates winning the IndyCar Series championship with his crew and team onwer roger Penske after his victory at the GoPro Grand Prix of Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on September 18, 2016 in Sonoma, California. (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)
SONOMA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Simon Pagenaud of France driver of the #22 Team Penske Hewlett Packard Chevrolet Dallara celebrates winning the IndyCar Series championship with his crew and team onwer roger Penske after his victory at the GoPro Grand Prix of Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on September 18, 2016 in Sonoma, California. (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images) /
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AVONDALE, AZ – APRIL 28: Josef Newgarden, driver of the #2 Team Penske Chevrolet(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
AVONDALE, AZ – APRIL 28: Josef Newgarden, driver of the #2 Team Penske Chevrolet(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /

Josef Newgarden, Team Penske, No. 2 Chevrolet (continued)

Here are more scenarios by which Josef Newgarden can claim his first career IndyCar championship.

With a 17th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 586 points
  • Dixon must finish in 16th place (585 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 8th place (586 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Pagenaud must finish in 5th place (586 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 2nd place (572 points) or lower

With an 18th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 584 points
  • Dixon must finish in 17th place (583 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 9th place (582 points) or lower
  • Pagenaud must finish in 6th place (582 points) or lower
  • Power must finish in 2nd place (572 points) or lower

With a 19th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 582 points
  • Dixon must finish in 18th place (581 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 9th place (582 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Pagenaud must finish in 6th place (582 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 2nd place (572 points) or lower

With a 20th place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 580 points
  • Dixon must finish in 19th place (579 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 10th place (578 points) or lower
  • Pagenaud must finish in 7th place (578 points) or lower
  • Power must finish in 2nd place (572 points) or lower

With a 21st place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 578 points
  • Dixon must finish in 20th place (577 points) or lower
  • Castroneves must finish in 10th place (578 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Pagenaud must finish in 7th place (578 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 2nd place (572 points) or lower

With a 22nd place finish…

  • Newgarden will have 576 points
  • Dixon must finish in 21st place (575 points)
  • Castroneves must finish in 11th place (576 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Pagenaud must finish in 8th place (574 points) or lower
  • Power must finish in 2nd place (572 points) or lower

If he doesn’t race…

  • Newgarden will have 560 points
  • Dixon must also not race (557 points)
  • Castroneves must finish in 19th place (560 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Pagenaud must finish in 13th place (560 points) or lower — Newgarden wins tiebreaker based on more wins in the 2017 season (4 to 1)
  • Power must finish in 4th place (556 points) or lower
  • Alexander Rossi must finish in 2nd place (556 points) or lower
  • Graham Rahal must finish in 2nd place (546 points) or lower